In the last week all of North America have mandated vaccines for truckers crossing borders. Canada started last week and the USA followed this weekend. In less than a week Calgary Canada is getting hit hard with lack of food stuffs. The USA has plenty of empty store shelves. I have no report how Mexico’s markets are doing at this time. I suspect that Mexico might have empty shelves later this year when Bulk staples like wheat flour or corn meal can’t be trucked from the USA into Mexico. There is no way to celebrate this problem. Canada is the major producer of lumber, and other petroleum based items not just maple syrup! Mexico does not export only garden veggies but they also import grains from the USA and Canada. Canada grows a lot of grain for both human and animals eat. Don’t celebrate this as more stuff will be available locally because that is not how international trade works.
You can mitigate the impact by getting prepared, growing a garden and sourcing as much of the things you need to survive locally. But what about the local farmer you buy that beef or fresh veggies from in the summer/fall. Where does he get his fertilizer/weed killer and how much more is it costing the farmer this year? I think we should get another month or two to stock up locally. Then I suspect prices will jump a lot due to inflation and other people simply buying more locally because that is what is available.
How much is enough to stockpile for the supply chain fiasco? I have no idea for sure. I have read the great economic brains say 4-6 weeks. I think you should go for storing 3-6 months and start your garden and find as many local suppliers as possible. I would be happy to be proven wrong and the supply chains are fixed by the end of February. I don’t think that will happen with China shutting down ports and the USA shutting down truckers and other parts of the supply chain.
I ordered my Baker creek seeds. I’m hoping I won’t see a shipping glitch that causes a later than March delivery. I’m being a bit pessimistic but I’m learning how early gardeners start planning gardens starting from a frost date in May. I live in SW Idaho and in region 6a or some what similar to Missouri. I have a frost date of May 8-10 and a last frost date around the 10th of October. Once you start planning a garden and starting seeds indoors or plants that need cold/cool weather for planting on a calendar stuff needs to start happening in February. Valentine’s day is 12 weeks before my last frost date and I should be starting warm weather plants like tomatoes indoors. I bought a radish seed that should be planted at the end of winter or in early spring and do another planting in summer for a late fall harvest and storage.
I never considered my area as a place for get two crops in year. Lots of folks in southern states get 2-3 crops in a year but in Idaho it seemed like crazy talk. It is possible at least in theory. Even if you can’t get a couple of harvests from your garden in a summer. You can try growing indoors a table garden of greens, perhaps a small tomato or pepper plant along with herbs. It is amazing how well plants will grow on a heat mat and some LED lighting. You don’t have to spend a lot of money to start growing some plants. I think I spent about $80.00 to get a couple of mats and some plant starter boxes. Perhaps more expensive this year with inflation. So $ 100.00 for some cheap led lights, heat mats and some plastic pots. If even a few plants survive into harvest you will make that money back in savings from not buying vegies/herbs in a grocery store especially when inflation is making food more expensive. That is before even moving that garden outdoors.
Some people think they can buy anything and money is no object. But what if there is nothing available to buy? Or people won’t sell what you want to you at any price? I see it in wet cat food. The price is on the shelf is okay but there is no wet cat food to buy. Ironically I stocked up on dry cat food and my cats seem to like the dry dog food better than their dry cat food.